Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.551645 1.768267 2.003968 2.279451 2.592604 2.937532 3.346341
2025-11-09 1.176119 1.461577 1.799472 2.228874 2.760156 3.396179 4.215971
2025-11-16 0.989929 1.306354 1.703413 2.238138 2.939705 3.829392 5.044667
2025-11-23 0.868583 1.204132 1.645830 2.269655 3.128431 4.270095 5.905483
2025-11-30 0.761496 1.101899 1.569018 2.256594 3.243493 4.610328 6.650753
2025-12-07 0.666738 1.002610 1.481029 2.211848 3.300830 4.865420 7.289047
2025-12-14 0.583751 0.909275 1.389055 2.147257 3.316397 5.053463 7.836799
2025-12-21 0.524463 0.844015 1.330123 2.122858 3.384625 5.318424 8.515482
2025-12-28 0.495704 0.822404 1.334269 2.193867 3.603128 5.826423 9.610942
2026-01-04 0.449359 0.767339 1.279658 2.164263 3.655701 6.073992 10.305706
2026-01-11 0.425037 0.745894 1.276691 2.217614 3.846562 6.557105 11.425668
2026-01-18 0.394665 0.710913 1.247473 2.222816 3.954619 6.908484 12.348080
2026-01-25 0.362561 0.673252 1.216123 2.232248 4.090397 7.352333 13.536163
2026-02-01 0.324016 0.620546 1.154380 2.183719 4.123133 7.628595 14.472641
2026-02-08 0.298547 0.588815 1.126429 2.192763 4.259781 8.100994 15.813346
2026-02-15 0.278807 0.565584 1.111380 2.223645 4.439163 8.667153 17.386514
2026-02-22 0.256027 0.533672 1.076135 2.210847 4.531150 9.073909 18.687410
2026-03-01 0.232390 0.497294 1.028162 2.167004 4.555547 9.349003 19.749235
2026-03-08 0.209417 0.459689 0.973712 2.103716 4.532639 9.525256 20.622400
2026-03-15 0.192656 0.433439 0.939865 2.079811 4.588956 9.867196 21.876230
2026-03-22 0.185748 0.427941 0.949137 2.149386 4.852407 10.666682 24.196183
2026-03-29 0.171189 0.403689 0.915384 2.120379 4.895600 10.996962 25.510692
2026-04-05 0.164241 0.396123 0.917659 2.172654 5.126340 11.758549 27.874488